Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.442852 0.564554 0.695844 0.846280 1.012315 1.188587 1.388556
2025-08-03 0.287508 0.453220 0.649560 0.891020 1.172984 1.486077 1.854771
2025-08-10 0.195589 0.373784 0.602010 0.897522 1.255720 1.664575 2.156548
2025-08-17 0.111371 0.279963 0.518698 0.846414 1.259415 1.743782 2.338608
2025-08-24 0.054453 0.202704 0.440612 0.788226 1.243301 1.790541 2.474820
2025-08-31 0.025931 0.157342 0.397425 0.768002 1.268313 1.881649 2.658938
2025-09-07 0.012053 0.131294 0.377937 0.776154 1.326605 2.011035 2.886816
2025-09-14 0.003136 0.104038 0.350345 0.768734 1.361685 2.109726 3.076177
2025-09-21 0.000009 0.077700 0.317540 0.749357 1.377859 2.182669 3.232614
2025-09-28 NaN 0.073161 0.325991 0.792485 1.478717 2.362566 3.519923
2025-10-05 NaN 0.071974 0.340967 0.845704 1.593492 2.560327 3.829445
2025-10-12 NaN 0.068300 0.349589 0.888406 1.693518 2.739213 4.115803
2025-10-19 NaN 0.071068 0.374920 0.961563 1.840946 2.985041 4.492774
2025-10-26 NaN 0.067087 0.384024 1.008786 1.953104 3.187038 4.817609
2025-11-02 NaN 0.054795 0.369775 1.015889 2.007526 3.313571 5.047931
2025-11-09 NaN 0.033086 0.321378 0.961240 1.971370 3.320742 5.128224
2025-11-16 NaN 0.016165 0.272177 0.898957 1.920260 3.305559 5.178221
2025-11-23 NaN 0.008626 0.247317 0.877268 1.926547 3.364436 5.319931
2025-11-30 NaN 0.005473 0.239076 0.886013 1.977869 3.483103 5.537336
2025-12-07 NaN 0.002342 0.223160 0.878055 2.002977 3.566036 5.708863
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000342 0.202093 0.857262 2.007111 3.619832 5.842552
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000356 0.212931 0.903519 2.115639 3.815765 6.158998
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000558 0.228750 0.960490 2.241035 4.034844 6.505414